FC Alverca vs Casa Pia AC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 12 Apr, 15:30
FC Alverca
31 Full time
Casa Pia AC
FC Alverca 3–1 Casa Pia AC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 28%
Away 27%

💡 FC Alverca are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1455 v 1424 Alverca rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alverca v Casa Pia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1455 vs 1424).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alverca
Form Index
Alverca
Goal expectation
Alverca
Home advantage
Alverca

Green = favours Alverca · Blue = favours Casa Pia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlvercaDDDLW1.2 ppg
Casa PiaLDDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Alverca1455
Casa Pia1424
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 33% · 27%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning45% · 33% · 23%

AI match preview

FC Alverca hosts Casa Pia AC in a tightly matched Primeira Liga encounter, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 46% probability. The expected goals suggest a close game, with a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline and a modest 43% chance both teams find the net. While a home win is the top pick, the relatively balanced stats point to a competitive clash; please remember these are statistical projections and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 0.92

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 FC Alverca 3–1 Casa Pia AC
Nov 2025 Casa Pia AC 0–2 FC Alverca