Moreirense FC vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 20 Apr, 20:15
Moreirense FC 1–0 GD Estoril Praia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 27%
Away 40%

💡 GD Estoril Praia have a slight edge — leaning GD Estoril Praia, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1458 v 1492 Estoril Praia rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Moreirense v Estoril Praia

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1458 vs 1492).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Estoril Praia
Form Index
Estoril Praia
Goal expectation
Estoril Praia
Home advantage
Moreirense

Green = favours Moreirense · Blue = favours Estoril Praia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MoreirenseDLLLD0.4 ppg
Estoril PraiaDWLLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Moreirense1458
Estoril Praia1492
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 26% · 41%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning24% · 30% · 46%

AI match preview

Moreirense FC hosts GD Estoril Praia in a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 40% probability. The expected goals suggest a tight game with both sides likely to find the net, reflected in a 1-1 scoreline as the most probable outcome. Fans can anticipate an open match with a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% likelihood of both teams scoring; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.74

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Moreirense FC 1–0 GD Estoril Praia
Dec 2025 GD Estoril Praia 3–3 Moreirense FC