Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 19 Apr, 18:15
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 26%
Away 23%

💡 Sporting Clube de Portugal are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1715 v 1678 Sporting CP rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sporting CP v SL Benfica

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1715 vs 1678).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sporting CP
Form Index
Sporting CP
Goal expectation
Sporting CP
Home advantage
Sporting CP

Green = favours Sporting CP · Blue = favours SL Benfica. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sporting CPWDWWW2.6 ppg
SL BenficaDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sporting CP1715
SL Benfica1678
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 31% · 22%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning52% · 31% · 17%

AI match preview

Sporting Clube de Portugal holds a slight edge with a 51% probability of victory against Sport Lisboa e Benfica, while a draw stands at 26% and an away win at 23%. The model projects a closely contested match with expected goals favoring the home side 1.37 to 0.86, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With only a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, this game could be a tight, tactical affair—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 0.86

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Dec 2025 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal