CD Tondela vs CD Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 25 Apr, 15:30
CD Tondela
02 Full time
CD Nacional
CD Tondela 0–2 CD Nacional

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 32%
Away 40%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1388 v 1441 CD Nacional rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Tondela v CD Nacional

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Why we predict this

  • CD Nacional is the stronger side on Power Rating (1441 vs 1388).
  • CD Nacional is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
CD Nacional
Form Index
CD Nacional
Goal expectation
CD Nacional
Home advantage
Tondela

Green = favours Tondela · Blue = favours CD Nacional. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TondelaLDLDL0.4 ppg
CD NacionalLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Tondela1388
CD Nacional1441
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 37% · 35%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning19% · 32% · 49%

AI match preview

CD Tondela host CD Nacional in a closely matched Primeira Liga fixture where the model gives a slight edge to the visitors with a 40% chance to win, while a draw is the most confident pick at 32%. Both sides are projected to score under one goal each, making a 0-0 stalemate the most likely outcome and highlighting a low-scoring encounter. With only a 24% probability for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, expect a tight contest; remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.79 – 0.91

Most likely score

0-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 24%

Under 76%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 CD Tondela 0–2 CD Nacional
Dec 2025 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela