CF Estrela da Amadora vs FC Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 26 Apr, 18:00
CF Estrela da Amadora 1–2 FC Porto

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (68%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 9%
Draw 23%
Away 68%

💡 FC Porto are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 80.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1414 v 1714 Porto rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 2.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Amadora v Porto

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Why we predict this

  • FC Porto is the stronger side on Power Rating (1714 vs 1414).
  • FC Porto is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Porto
Form Index
Porto
Goal expectation
Porto
Home advantage
Amadora

Green = favours Amadora · Blue = favours Porto. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AmadoraLWLLL0.6 ppg
PortoWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Amadora1414
Porto1714
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 19% · 73%
Power Rating18% · 12% · 70%
Machine-learning1% · 38% · 61%

AI match preview

CF Estrela da Amadora face a tough challenge at home against FC Porto, who are favored to win with a 68% probability according to the model. The expected goals suggest a 0.63 to 2.23 advantage for Porto, with the most likely scoreline being 0-2. There is a moderate chance for over 2.5 goals at 54%, while both teams scoring is slightly less likely at 43%; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.63 – 2.23

Most likely score

0-2

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–2 FC Porto
Dec 2025 FC Porto 3–1 CF Estrela da Amadora