FC Alverca vs FC Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 24 Apr, 20:15
FC Alverca
21 Full time
FC Arouca
FC Alverca 2–1 FC Arouca

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 26%
Away 32%

💡 FC Alverca have a slight edge — leaning FC Alverca, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1457 v 1463 Arouca rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1457 vs 1463).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Arouca
Goal expectation
Alverca
Home advantage
Alverca

Green = favours Alverca · Blue = favours Arouca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlvercaDLWWL1.4 ppg
AroucaLWWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Alverca1457
Arouca1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 29% · 31%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning39% · 28% · 33%

AI match preview

FC Alverca and FC Arouca face off in what promises to be a closely contested Primeira Liga encounter, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 42%. Both teams are projected to score, with a 56% chance of BTTS and an expected tight scoreline around 1-1, reflecting the narrow goal difference of 1.43 to 1.24. While there's a balanced 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, these projections highlight the competitive nature of the match—remember to consider these stats as probabilities and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 FC Alverca 2–1 FC Arouca
Dec 2025 FC Arouca 1–0 FC Alverca