FC Arouca vs CD Santa Clara Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 2 May, 15:30
FC Arouca
22 Full time
CD Santa Clara
FC Arouca 2–2 CD Santa Clara

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 30%
Away 31%

💡 FC Arouca have a slight edge — leaning FC Arouca, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1453 v 1448 Arouca rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1453 vs 1448).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Arouca
Goal expectation
Arouca
Home advantage
Arouca

Green = favours Arouca · Blue = favours Santa Clara. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AroucaWWLWL1.8 ppg
Santa ClaraWLLDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Arouca1453
Santa Clara1448
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 29% · 34%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning29% · 42% · 29%

AI match preview

FC Arouca and CD Santa Clara are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% probability. The expected goals tally suggests a tight game, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 and a 56% chance both teams will find the net. Over 2.5 goals is marginally favored at 51%, indicating a moderate likelihood of a lively encounter; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.31

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 FC Arouca 2–2 CD Santa Clara
Dec 2025 CD Santa Clara 0–0 FC Arouca