Vitória SC vs Casa Pia AC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 11 May, 20:15
Vitória SC
01 Full time
Casa Pia AC
Vitória SC 0–1 Casa Pia AC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (59%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 59%
Draw 23%
Away 18%

💡 Vitória SC are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1475 v 1384 Vitória SC rated higher
Form Index 2 v 0.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Vitória SC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1475 vs 1384).
  • Vitória SC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vitória SC
Form Index
Vitória SC
Goal expectation
Vitória SC
Home advantage
Vitória SC

Green = favours Vitória SC · Blue = favours Casa Pia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Vitória SCWDWWL2 ppg
Casa PiaLDLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vitória SC1475
Casa Pia1384
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 23% · 13%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning50% · 34% · 16%

AI match preview

Vitória SC enters this Primeira Liga clash with Casa Pia AC as the clear statistical favorite, holding a 59% chance of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.00 to 0.78. The model predicts a 2-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome, reflecting Vitória's stronger offensive and defensive projections. While over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are nearly evenly matched probabilities, these projections should be viewed as informed estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.00 – 0.78

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Vitória SC 0–1 Casa Pia AC
Dec 2025 Casa Pia AC 0–0 Vitória SC