Gil Vicente FC vs FC Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 11 May, 20:15
Gil Vicente FC
13 Full time
FC Arouca
Gil Vicente FC 1–3 FC Arouca

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 17%
Away 18%

💡 Gil Vicente FC are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1529 v 1451 Gil Vicente rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Gil Vicente FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1529 vs 1451).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Gil Vicente
Form Index
Gil Vicente
Goal expectation
Gil Vicente
Home advantage
Gil Vicente

Green = favours Gil Vicente · Blue = favours Arouca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Gil VicenteWDLWD1.6 ppg
AroucaWLWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Gil Vicente1529
Arouca1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 21% · 12%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning68% · 17% · 15%

AI match preview

Gil Vicente FC enters this Primeira Liga clash with a 65% chance of securing a home win against FC Arouca, backed by a strong 77/100 confidence rating. The model projects an expected goals tally of 2.18 for Gil Vicente and 0.84 for Arouca, suggesting a likely 2-0 victory for the hosts. While there is a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance both teams will score, these statistics are projections and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.18 – 0.84

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Gil Vicente FC 1–3 FC Arouca
Dec 2025 FC Arouca 2–2 Gil Vicente FC