CD Tondela vs Moreirense FC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 11 May, 20:15
CD Tondela
20 Full time
Moreirense FC
CD Tondela 2–0 Moreirense FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 33%
Away 41%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1393 v 1470 Moreirense rated higher
Form Index 1 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Moreirense FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1470 vs 1393).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Moreirense
Form Index
Moreirense
Goal expectation
Moreirense
Home advantage
Tondela

Green = favours Tondela · Blue = favours Moreirense. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TondelaDLLDW1 ppg
MoreirenseLDWLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Tondela1393
Moreirense1470
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 33% · 41%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning16% · 40% · 44%

AI match preview

CD Tondela and Moreirense FC are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model giving a 33% probability to a draw and a slight edge to the visitors at 41%. The expected goals tally suggests a tight game with an anticipated 1-1 scoreline, reflecting balanced attacking output from both sides. While the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring remain moderate at 34% and 42% respectively, these projections are statistical estimates and should be considered responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.87 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 CD Tondela 2–0 Moreirense FC
Jan 2026 Moreirense FC 1–0 CD Tondela