FC Alverca vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 10 May, 20:30
FC Alverca
11 Full time
GD Estoril Praia
FC Alverca 1–1 GD Estoril Praia

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 33%
Away 35%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (33%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1463 v 1477 Estoril Praia rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 0.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alverca v Estoril Praia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1463 vs 1477).
  • FC Alverca is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Estoril Praia
Form Index
Alverca
Goal expectation
Estoril Praia
Home advantage
Alverca

Green = favours Alverca · Blue = favours Estoril Praia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlvercaWWLWL1.8 ppg
Estoril PraiaLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Alverca1463
Estoril Praia1477
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 27% · 43%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning19% · 51% · 31%

AI match preview

FC Alverca and GD Estoril Praia head into this Primeira Liga clash with a closely matched outlook, as the model suggests a narrow edge to the visitors at 35%, but a draw remains the most probable result at 33%. The expected goals tally hints at an evenly contested affair with both sides likely to find the net, supporting a 1-1 scoreline as the most likely outcome. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities above 58%, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, though these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.64

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 FC Alverca 1–1 GD Estoril Praia
Dec 2025 GD Estoril Praia 4–1 FC Alverca