CD Santa Clara vs CD Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 11 May, 20:15
CD Santa Clara
20 Full time
CD Nacional
CD Santa Clara 2–0 CD Nacional

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 CD Santa Clara have a slight edge — leaning CD Santa Clara, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1450 v 1442 Santa Clara rated higher
Form Index 1 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1450 vs 1442).
  • CD Nacional is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Santa Clara
Form Index
CD Nacional
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Santa Clara

Green = favours Santa Clara · Blue = favours CD Nacional. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Santa ClaraLLDWD1 ppg
CD NacionalWLWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Santa Clara1450
CD Nacional1442
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 37% · 30%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 32%
Machine-learning42% · 23% · 36%

AI match preview

CD Santa Clara and CD Nacional are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 41% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 27% and 32% respectively. Expected goals are low and nearly even, suggesting a tight game likely to yield few clear-cut chances, with 0-0 as the most probable scoreline. Given the modest chances for over 2.5 goals (25%) and both teams scoring (35%), this match may hinge on defensive solidity and narrow margins—remember, these are statistical projections; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.89 – 0.84

Most likely score

0-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 CD Santa Clara 2–0 CD Nacional
Jan 2026 CD Nacional 3–3 CD Santa Clara