Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 16 May, 20:30
Sporting Clube de Portugal 3–0 Gil Vicente FC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (77%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 77%
Draw 13%
Away 10%

💡 Sporting Clube de Portugal are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1701 v 1506 Sporting CP rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sporting Clube de Portugal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1701 vs 1506).
  • Sporting Clube de Portugal is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sporting CP
Form Index
Sporting CP
Goal expectation
Sporting CP
Home advantage
Sporting CP

Green = favours Sporting CP · Blue = favours Gil Vicente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sporting CPLDDWW1.6 ppg
Gil VicenteDLWDL1 ppg
Power Rating
Sporting CP1701
Gil Vicente1506
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 21% · 11%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning91% · 5% · 3%

AI match preview

Sporting Clube de Portugal enter this Primeira Liga clash as strong favorites with a 77% chance of securing a home win, while Gil Vicente FC face an uphill battle with just a 10% chance to claim victory. The model projects a 2-0 scoreline, reflecting Sporting's expected dominance in attack with 2.19 expected goals compared to Gil Vicente's 0.77. There's a moderate 57% probability for over 2.5 goals and a near-even 49% chance both teams will score, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.19 – 0.77

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3–0 Gil Vicente FC
Jan 2026 Gil Vicente FC 1–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal