GD Estoril Praia vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 16 May, 20:30
GD Estoril Praia 1–3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (60%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 15%
Draw 25%
Away 60%

💡 Sport Lisboa e Benfica are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1478 v 1691 SL Benfica rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Estoril Praia v SL Benfica

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Why we predict this

  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica is the stronger side on Power Rating (1691 vs 1478).
  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
SL Benfica
Form Index
SL Benfica
Goal expectation
SL Benfica
Home advantage
Estoril Praia

Green = favours Estoril Praia · Blue = favours SL Benfica. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Estoril PraiaLLLDD0.4 ppg
SL BenficaWWWDD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Estoril Praia1478
SL Benfica1691
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 23% · 63%
Power Rating26% · 14% · 61%
Machine-learning4% · 40% · 57%

AI match preview

In this Primeira Liga clash, GD Estoril Praia face off against Sport Lisboa e Benfica, with the model giving the away side a 60% chance to win and a confidence level of 70/100. While Benfica are favored to come out on top, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the competitive nature of the match. Expect a moderately open game with a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance both teams will score; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.93 – 2.09

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 GD Estoril Praia 1–3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Jan 2026 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3–1 GD Estoril Praia