CD Nacional vs Vitória SC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 16 May, 18:00
CD Nacional
20 Full time
Vitória SC
CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 30%
Away 31%

💡 CD Nacional have a slight edge — leaning CD Nacional, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1429 v 1459 Vitória SC rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1429 vs 1459).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vitória SC
Form Index
Vitória SC
Goal expectation
CD Nacional
Home advantage
CD Nacional

Green = favours CD Nacional · Blue = favours Vitória SC. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CD NacionalLWWLL1.2 ppg
Vitória SCDWWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
CD Nacional1429
Vitória SC1459
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 28% · 22%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning26% · 38% · 37%

AI match preview

CD Nacional and Vitória SC are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 39% probability, though a draw or away victory remain plausible at 30% and 31% respectively. Expected goals suggest a modestly higher attacking output from Nacional (1.63) compared to Vitória SC (1.02), aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.02

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 CD Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC
Jan 2026 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional