Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave FC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 16 May, 18:00
Casa Pia AC
11 Full time
Rio Ave FC
Casa Pia AC 1–1 Rio Ave FC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 29%
Away 35%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 35.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 35.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1400 v 1425 Rio Ave rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Casa Pia v Rio Ave

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1400 vs 1425).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rio Ave
Form Index
Rio Ave
Goal expectation
Rio Ave
Home advantage
Casa Pia

Green = favours Casa Pia · Blue = favours Rio Ave. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Casa PiaDLLLW0.8 ppg
Rio AveWDLDL1 ppg
Power Rating
Casa Pia1400
Rio Ave1425
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 29% · 38%
Power Rating43% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning30% · 36% · 34%

AI match preview

Casa Pia AC and Rio Ave FC are projected to share the spoils in a tightly contested Primeira Liga clash, with both sides holding a 35% chance of victory and a draw at 29%. The expected goals suggest a closely matched game, likely ending in a 1-1 draw, supported by a 55% probability of both teams scoring. With just under a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals, this encounter promises balanced action, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.37

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Casa Pia AC 1–1 Rio Ave FC
Jan 2026 Rio Ave FC 3–1 Casa Pia AC