Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs Newcastle United FC Prediction

UEFA Champions League · Wed 18 Feb, 17:45
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1–6 Newcastle United FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 25%
Away 33%

💡 Qarabağ Ağdam FK have a slight edge — leaning Qarabağ Ağdam FK, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1492 v 1517 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index 1.3 v 1.3 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Qarabağ Ağdam v Newcastle

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1492 vs 1517).
  • Both model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Qarabağ Ağdam
Home advantage
Qarabağ Ağdam

Green = favours Qarabağ Ağdam · Blue = favours Newcastle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Qarabağ AğdamWDL1.3 ppg
NewcastleWLD1.3 ppg
Power Rating
Qarabağ Ağdam1492
Newcastle1517
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 27% · 33%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%

AI match preview

Qarabağ Ağdam FK hosts Newcastle United FC in a tightly poised UEFA Champions League clash, with the model giving the home side a 42% chance of victory and a 33% chance for the visitors. Expected goals are close at 1.60 for Qarabağ and 1.42 for Newcastle, suggesting a competitive match that could well end in a 1-1 draw. With a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% chance both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.42

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Newcastle United FC 3–2 Qarabağ Ağdam FK
Feb 2026 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1–6 Newcastle United FC