Newcastle United FC vs Qarabağ Ağdam FK Prediction

UEFA Champions League · Tue 24 Feb, 20:00
Newcastle United FC 3–2 Qarabağ Ağdam FK

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 13%
Away 16%

💡 Newcastle United FC are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1541 v 1468 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Newcastle v Qarabağ Ağdam

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Newcastle United FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1541 vs 1468).
  • Newcastle United FC is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.5 expected goals).
  • Both model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Newcastle
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
Newcastle

Green = favours Newcastle · Blue = favours Qarabağ Ağdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NewcastleWLDW1.8 ppg
Qarabağ AğdamWDLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Newcastle1541
Qarabağ Ağdam1468
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model85% · 10% · 5%
Power Rating59% · 14% · 27%

AI match preview

Newcastle United FC are strong favorites to claim victory against Qarabağ Ağdam FK in this UEFA Champions League clash, with a 71% chance of a home win and an expected scoreline of 3-0. The model projects a high-scoring encounter, with over 2.5 goals likely in 81% of simulations and both teams scoring in 57% of cases. These statistical projections offer insights but always remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.49 – 0.87

Most likely score

3-0

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 81%

Under 19%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St James' Park Newcastle, England Capacity 52,305 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Newcastle United FC 3–2 Qarabağ Ağdam FK
Feb 2026 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1–6 Newcastle United FC