Middlesbrough FC vs Southampton FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 9 May, 12:30
Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Southampton FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 27%
Away 30%

💡 Middlesbrough FC have a slight edge — leaning Middlesbrough FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1574 v 1636 Southampton rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Middlesbrough v Southampton

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Why we predict this

  • Southampton FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1636 vs 1574).
  • Southampton FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Southampton
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Southampton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughLDWWD1.6 ppg
SouthamptonWWDDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1574
Southampton1636
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 27% · 28%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning47% · 28% · 25%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC hosts Southampton FC in a Championship clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 43% chance of victory, while a draw is also a strong possibility at 27%. The model projects a competitive match with expected goals favoring Middlesbrough 1.67 to 1.27, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, reflecting a tight contest. With a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Southampton FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC
May 2026 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Southampton FC
Jan 2026 Middlesbrough FC 4–0 Southampton FC
Sept 2025 Southampton FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC