Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 23 May, 17:30
Hull City AFC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 25%
Away 37%

💡 Hull City AFC have a slight edge — leaning Hull City AFC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1540 v 1566 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1540 vs 1566).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Hull City

Green = favours Hull City · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Hull CityDLWDW1.6 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Hull City1540
Middlesbrough1566
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 26% · 47%
Power Rating43% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning42% · 27% · 30%

AI match preview

Hull City and Middlesbrough FC are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 38% probability versus 37% for an away victory. The expected goals suggest a tight match with 1.36 for Hull and 1.83 for Middlesbrough, and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most likely scoreline. With a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% probability of both teams scoring, this encounter promises attacking action, though all projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.83

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Hull City AFC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC
Dec 2025 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Hull City AFC
Dec 2025 Hull City AFC 1–4 Middlesbrough FC