Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction

Championship · Sat 15 Aug, 15:00
Stoke City FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Swansea City AFC

Match result prediction

Home 36%
Draw 28%
Away 36%

💡 Swansea City AFC have a slight edge — leaning Swansea City AFC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 36.5/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1431 v 1561 Swansea rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v WLWDW Stoke 0.2 · Swansea 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Swansea City AFC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1431).
  • Swansea City AFC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Swansea
Form Index
Swansea
Goal expectation
Stoke
Home advantage
Stoke

Green = favours Stoke · Blue = favours Swansea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
SwanseaWLWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Stoke1431
Swansea1561
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 30% · 26%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning26% · 29% · 45%

AI match preview

Stoke City and Swansea City are poised for a tightly contested Championship clash, with the model assigning an equal 36% chance to both sides winning and a 28% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals suggest a slight edge to the home side at 1.45 versus 1.07 for Swansea, yet the most probable scoreline remains a 1-1 draw. With a 52% probability for both teams to score and under 50% for over 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and it's important to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Swansea City AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC
Dec 2025 Stoke City FC 2–1 Swansea City AFC