Southampton FC vs Millwall FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 29 Aug, 15:00
Southampton FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Millwall FC

Match result prediction

Home 49%
Draw 25%
Away 26%

💡 Southampton FC are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.7/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1652 v 1615 Southampton rated higher
Form Index WDWDW v DWWDW Southampton 2.2 · Millwall 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1652 vs 1615).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Millwall. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonWDWDW2.2 ppg
MillwallDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1652
Millwall1615
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 32% · 23%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning50% · 25% · 26%

AI match preview

Southampton FC hosts Millwall FC in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 49%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals suggest a moderately tight game, with Southampton edging 1.31 to 0.86, and the most likely scoreline predicted as 1-1. With only a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% probability both teams will score, this match could be a closely contested affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 0.86

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

SouthamptonMillwall
5.8 Corners 5.0
2.1 Cards 1.9
10.7 Fouls 12.9

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Southampton FC 0–0 Millwall FC
Nov 2025 Millwall FC 3–2 Southampton FC