Wrexham AFC vs Birmingham City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 29 Aug, 15:00
Wrexham AFC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Birmingham City FC

Match result prediction

Home 51%
Draw 23%
Away 26%

💡 Wrexham AFC are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.1/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1549 v 1517 Wrexham rated higher
Form Index LLWWD v LWWWD Wrexham 1.4 · Birmingham 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1549 vs 1517).
  • Birmingham City FC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wrexham
Form Index
Birmingham
Goal expectation
Wrexham
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Birmingham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamLLWWD1.4 ppg
BirminghamLWWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1549
Birmingham1517
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 28% · 24%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning53% · 23% · 24%

AI match preview

Wrexham AFC holds a slight statistical edge with a 51% chance of securing a home win against Birmingham City FC, who have a 26% probability to claim victory, while a draw is projected at 23%. The model anticipates a closely contested match with an expected goals tally favoring Wrexham at 1.63 to 1.07, making 1-1 the most probable scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring each above 50%, fans can expect an open game, but remember these projections are based on probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Wrexham AFC
Oct 2025 Wrexham AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC