Millwall FC vs Wrexham AFC Prediction

Championship · Wed 2 Sept, 19:45
Millwall FC
1–1 Predicted · 19:45
Wrexham AFC

Match result prediction

Home 49%
Draw 24%
Away 27%

💡 Millwall FC are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.8/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1615 v 1549 Millwall rated higher
Form Index DWWDW v LLWWD Millwall 2.2 · Wrexham 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Millwall FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1615 vs 1549).
  • Millwall FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Millwall
Form Index
Millwall
Goal expectation
Millwall
Home advantage
Millwall

Green = favours Millwall · Blue = favours Wrexham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MillwallDWWDW2.2 ppg
WrexhamLLWWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Millwall1615
Wrexham1549
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 30% · 28%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning46% · 28% · 27%

AI match preview

Millwall FC and Wrexham AFC are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model slightly favoring a Millwall home win at 49% confidence. Both teams are projected to score, reflected in a 51% chance of both teams finding the net, and an expected goals tally of 1.38 for Millwall and 1.08 for Wrexham. While a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline, the probabilities suggest an open game with moderate chances for goals; as always, these projections are statistical and should be considered responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

MillwallWrexham
5.0 Corners 4.5
1.9 Cards 1.6
12.9 Fouls 9.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Wrexham AFC 0–2 Millwall FC
Aug 2025 Millwall FC 0–2 Wrexham AFC