Queens Park Rangers FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 5 Sept, 15:00
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Middlesbrough FC

Match result prediction

Home 30%
Draw 25%
Away 46%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1581 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index DDLLL v WWDDL QPR 0.4 · Middlesbrough 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on QPR v Middlesbrough

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1454).
  • Middlesbrough FC is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
QPR

Green = favours QPR · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
QPRDDLLL0.4 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
QPR1454
Middlesbrough1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 25% · 46%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 46%
Machine-learning26% · 29% · 45%

AI match preview

Queens Park Rangers host Middlesbrough in a Championship clash where the away side holds a 46% chance of victory, slightly edging out the home team's 30% probability. Despite this, the model suggests a closely contested match with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 and a strong probability (66%) of over 2.5 goals, supported by expected goals of 1.50 for QPR and 1.88 for Middlesbrough. Additionally, both teams are projected to score in 67% of simulations, indicating an entertaining encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.88

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Loftus Road London, England Capacity 18,439 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Queens Park Rangers FC 0–4 Middlesbrough FC
Dec 2025 Middlesbrough FC 3–1 Queens Park Rangers FC