Stoke City FC vs Charlton Athletic FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 5 Sept, 15:00
Stoke City FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Charlton Athletic FC

Match result prediction

Home 47%
Draw 26%
Away 27%

💡 Stoke City FC are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1431 v 1435 Charlton rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v LDLDL Stoke 0.2 · Charlton 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1431 vs 1435).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Charlton
Goal expectation
Stoke
Home advantage
Stoke

Green = favours Stoke · Blue = favours Charlton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
CharltonLDLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Stoke1431
Charlton1435
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 29% · 18%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 32%
Machine-learning41% · 29% · 30%

AI match preview

Stoke City FC are slightly favored to edge Charlton Athletic FC with a 47% chance of victory, though a draw remains a plausible 26% outcome according to the model. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with Stoke scoring 1.54 and Charlton 0.82, pointing to a probable 1-1 scoreline. While the odds lean toward a home win, there’s only moderate confidence, and with just a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, this match could be closely contested—remember to consider these statistical projections carefully and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 0.82

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Charlton Athletic FC 1–0 Stoke City FC
Nov 2025 Stoke City FC 3–0 Charlton Athletic FC