Derby County FC vs West Bromwich Albion FC Prediction

Championship · Wed 9 Sept, 19:45
Derby County FC
1–1 Predicted · 19:45
West Bromwich Albion FC

Match result prediction

Home 55%
Draw 22%
Away 23%

💡 Derby County FC are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.0/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1562 v 1478 Derby County rated higher
Form Index LWLWL v DDWWL Derby County 1.2 · West Brom 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1478).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Derby County
Form Index
West Brom
Goal expectation
Derby County
Home advantage
Derby County

Green = favours Derby County · Blue = favours West Brom. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Derby CountyLWLWL1.2 ppg
West BromDDWWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Derby County1562
West Brom1478
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 32% · 21%
Power Rating61% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning57% · 20% · 23%

AI match preview

Derby County FC holds a 55% chance of securing a home victory against West Bromwich Albion FC, with the model suggesting a closely contested match likely to end in a 1-1 draw. Expected goals favor Derby slightly at 1.32 compared to West Brom's 0.80, while the probabilities for both teams to score sit at 42%, indicating potential attacking contributions from both sides. With just a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals, this Championship clash could be a tight, low-scoring affair; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 0.80

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Pride Park Stadium Derby, England Capacity 32,956 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Derby County FC 1–1 West Bromwich Albion FC
Sept 2025 West Bromwich Albion FC 0–1 Derby County FC