Wrexham AFC vs Southampton FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 19 Sept, 15:00
Wrexham AFC
1–2 Predicted · 15:00
Southampton FC

Match result prediction

Home 30%
Draw 25%
Away 46%

💡 Southampton FC are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.8/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1549 v 1652 Southampton rated higher
Form Index LLWWD v WDWDW Wrexham 1.4 · Southampton 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Southampton FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1652 vs 1549).
  • Southampton FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Southampton
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Southampton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamLLWWD1.4 ppg
SouthamptonWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1549
Southampton1652
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 22% · 49%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning26% · 29% · 45%

AI match preview

Wrexham AFC welcome Southampton FC in a Championship clash where the visitors hold a 46% chance of victory, edging out a home win at 30% and a 25% likelihood of a draw. The model forecasts a competitive encounter with an expected goal tally of 1.76 for Wrexham and 2.30 for Southampton, suggesting a 1-2 scoreline as the most probable outcome. With a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and 75% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.76 – 2.30

Most likely score

1-2

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 77%

Under 23%

Both teams to score

Yes 75%

No 25%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

WrexhamSouthampton
4.5 Corners 5.8
1.6 Cards 2.1
9.7 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Wrexham AFC 1–5 Southampton FC
Aug 2025 Southampton FC 2–1 Wrexham AFC