Birmingham City FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 19 Sept, 15:00
Birmingham City FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Middlesbrough FC

Match result prediction

Home 37%
Draw 31%
Away 32%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.8/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1517 v 1581 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index LWWWD v WWDDL Birmingham 2.0 · Middlesbrough 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1517).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Birmingham
Goal expectation
Birmingham
Home advantage
Birmingham

Green = favours Birmingham · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BirminghamLWWWD2.0 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Birmingham1517
Middlesbrough1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 29% · 27%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning29% · 37% · 34%

AI match preview

Birmingham City and Middlesbrough are projected to produce a closely contested Championship clash, with a draw slightly favored at 31% and a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. Expected goals suggest a tight game, with Birmingham edging the attack at 1.46 expected goals to Middlesbrough’s 1.09, while both teams scoring looks marginally more likely than not at 53%. Over 2.5 goals is less probable at 47%, indicating a moderately low-scoring affair overall. These projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC
Nov 2025 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC