Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Tue 13 Oct, 19:45
Stoke City FC
1–1 Predicted · 19:45
Middlesbrough FC

Match result prediction

Home 29%
Draw 26%
Away 45%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.6/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1431 v 1581 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v WWDDL Stoke 0.2 · Middlesbrough 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1431).
  • Middlesbrough FC is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Stoke

Green = favours Stoke · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Stoke1431
Middlesbrough1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 28% · 38%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning22% · 31% · 47%

AI match preview

Stoke City host Middlesbrough in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 45%, though a draw at 26% and a home victory at 29% remain plausible. Both teams are projected to score, with a 58% probability for both teams to score and an expected close scoreline around 1-1. Over 2.5 goals is also marginally likely at 52%, but these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.43

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Stoke City FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC
Sept 2025 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Stoke City FC