Who is predicted to win Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC?

Our AI model predicts Away win (45% probability). The home/draw/away split is 30% / 26% / 45%.

What is the predicted score for Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC?

The most likely scoreline from the SwiftScore model is 1-1 (11%), from projected expected goals of 1.46–1.85.

Will both teams score in Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC?

Both teams to score: Yes 66%, No 34%. The chance of over 2.5 goals is 64%.

How confident is SwiftScore in this Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC prediction?

SwiftScore rates this call 48.5/100. Every prediction is locked before kick-off and graded against the real result on our public accuracy page.

Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC Prediction

Championship · Wed 14 Oct, 19:45

Queens Park Rangers FC

1–1 Predicted · 19:45

Derby County FC

Match result prediction

Home 30%

Draw 26%

Away 45%

💡 Derby County FC have a slight edge — leaning Derby County FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win

SwiftScore Low · 48.5/100

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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited

SwiftScore 48.5

/100 confidence

Power Rating 1454 v 1562 Derby County rated higher

Form Index DDLLL v LWLWL QPR 0.4 · Derby County 1.2 ppg

Model Consensus 100%

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Why we predict this

Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1454).
Derby County FC is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating

Derby County

Form Index

Derby County

Goal expectation

Derby County

Home advantage

QPR

Green = favours QPR · Blue = favours Derby County. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)

QPRDDLLL0.4 ppg

Derby CountyLWLWL1.2 ppg

Power Rating

QPR1454

Derby County1562

Model Consensus (home/draw/away)

Goals model29% · 25% · 46%

Power Rating34% · 23% · 43%

Machine-learning26% · 29% · 45%

AI match preview

Queens Park Rangers FC host Derby County FC in a Championship clash where the visitors hold a 45% chance to win, slightly edging out a 30% probability for the home side, with draws at 26%. The match is projected to be closely contested, with an expected goals tally favoring Derby at 1.85 compared to QPR's 1.46, while a 1-1 draw remains the most likely scoreline. With a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 66% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.85

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Loftus Road London, England Capacity 18,439 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–3 Derby County FC

Oct 2025 Derby County FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC