Birmingham City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 17 Oct, 15:00
Birmingham City FC
1–0 Predicted · 15:00
Queens Park Rangers FC

Match result prediction

Home 52%
Draw 26%
Away 22%

💡 Birmingham City FC are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.7/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1517 v 1454 Birmingham rated higher
Form Index LWWWD v DDLLL Birmingham 2.0 · QPR 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Birmingham City FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1517 vs 1454).
  • Birmingham City FC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Birmingham
Form Index
Birmingham
Goal expectation
Birmingham
Home advantage
Birmingham

Green = favours Birmingham · Blue = favours QPR. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BirminghamLWWWD2.0 ppg
QPRDDLLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Birmingham1517
QPR1454
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 29% · 14%
Power Rating57% · 16% · 27%
Machine-learning43% · 35% · 23%

AI match preview

Birmingham City FC holds a statistical edge heading into their Championship clash with Queens Park Rangers FC, with a 52% chance of a home win and a projected 1-0 scoreline. The model suggests a tight encounter with modest goal expectations, favoring under 2.5 goals and a low probability of both teams scoring. As always, these projections are based on probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.52 – 0.66

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC
Dec 2025 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC