Sheffield United FC vs Derby County FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 24 Oct, 15:00
Sheffield United FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Derby County FC

Match result prediction

Home 33%
Draw 27%
Away 40%

💡 Derby County FC have a slight edge — leaning Derby County FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.3/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1507 v 1562 Derby County rated higher
Form Index LWLLW v LWLWL Sheffield Utd 1.2 · Derby County 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sheffield Utd v Derby County

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Why we predict this

  • Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1507).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Derby County
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Derby County
Home advantage
Sheffield Utd

Green = favours Sheffield Utd · Blue = favours Derby County. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sheffield UtdLWLLW1.2 ppg
Derby CountyLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sheffield Utd1507
Derby County1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 26% · 46%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning32% · 29% · 39%

AI match preview

Sheffield United host Derby County in what promises to be a closely contested Championship clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 40% probability. Both sides are projected to find the net, reflected in a 64% chance of BTTS and an expected goals range suggesting a competitive encounter. While the most likely scoreline is 1-1, the 61% chance of over 2.5 goals indicates potential for an open game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.79

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Bramall Lane Sheffield, England Capacity 32,050 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Derby County FC 1–2 Sheffield United FC
Nov 2025 Sheffield United FC 1–3 Derby County FC