Millwall FC vs Derby County FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
Millwall FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Derby County FC

Match result prediction

Home 47%
Draw 25%
Away 28%

💡 Millwall FC are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.1/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1615 v 1562 Millwall rated higher
Form Index DWWDW v LWLWL Millwall 2.2 · Derby County 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Millwall FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1615 vs 1562).
  • Millwall FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Millwall
Form Index
Millwall
Goal expectation
Millwall
Home advantage
Millwall

Green = favours Millwall · Blue = favours Derby County. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MillwallDWWDW2.2 ppg
Derby CountyLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Millwall1615
Derby County1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 30% · 31%
Power Rating55% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning45% · 29% · 26%

AI match preview

Millwall FC and Derby County FC are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 47% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 25% and 28%, respectively. The expected goals suggest a tight match, with Millwall marginally favored to score 1.38 goals against Derby's 1.19, and the most likely scoreline projected as a 1-1 draw. There’s a moderate chance for both teams to score (54%) and for the match to exceed 2.5 goals (47%), making this an intriguing fixture to watch. Remember, these are statistical projections; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC
Dec 2025 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC