Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Wed 4 Nov, 19:45
Wrexham AFC
1–1 Predicted · 19:45
Middlesbrough FC

Match result prediction

Home 36%
Draw 25%
Away 39%

💡 Middlesbrough FC have a slight edge — leaning Middlesbrough FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 39.2/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1549 v 1581 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index LLWWD v WWDDL Wrexham 1.4 · Middlesbrough 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1549 vs 1581).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamLLWWD1.4 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1549
Middlesbrough1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 25% · 47%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning39% · 27% · 35%

AI match preview

Wrexham AFC host Middlesbrough FC in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 39%, with a 36% chance for the home side and a 25% probability of a draw. The expected goals suggest a competitive game with a predicted 1-1 scoreline, while there’s a strong likelihood of both teams scoring (66%) and the match seeing over 2.5 goals (64%). These projections offer a statistical view of the encounter—please remember to gamble responsibly, 18+.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.88

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

WrexhamMiddlesbrough
4.5 Corners 6.0
1.6 Cards 1.6
9.7 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Wrexham AFC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC
Oct 2025 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Wrexham AFC