Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 7 Nov, 15:00
Watford FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Middlesbrough FC

Match result prediction

Home 31%
Draw 27%
Away 42%

💡 Middlesbrough FC have a slight edge — leaning Middlesbrough FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 45.6/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1451 v 1581 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v WWDDL Watford 0.2 · Middlesbrough 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1451).
  • Middlesbrough FC is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Watford

Green = favours Watford · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WatfordDLLLL0.2 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Watford1451
Middlesbrough1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 30% · 36%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning27% · 30% · 44%

AI match preview

Watford FC host Middlesbrough FC in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 42%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a 27% chance. Both teams are projected to score around 1.3 goals each, with a 54% probability of both sides finding the net and a near 50/50 chance of the match exceeding 2.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, but all outcomes remain open—these are statistical projections, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.32

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

WatfordMiddlesbrough
5.1 Corners 6.0
2.2 Cards 1.6
11.9 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Middlesbrough FC 5–1 Watford FC
Nov 2025 Watford FC 3–0 Middlesbrough FC