Birmingham City FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction

Championship · Sat 7 Nov, 15:00
Birmingham City FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Swansea City AFC

Match result prediction

Home 42%
Draw 29%
Away 29%

💡 Birmingham City FC have a slight edge — leaning Birmingham City FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.6/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1517 v 1561 Swansea rated higher
Form Index LWWWD v WLWDW Birmingham 2.0 · Swansea 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Swansea City AFC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1517).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Swansea
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Birmingham
Home advantage
Birmingham

Green = favours Birmingham · Blue = favours Swansea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BirminghamLWWWD2.0 ppg
SwanseaWLWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Birmingham1517
Swansea1561
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 28% · 18%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning33% · 35% · 33%

AI match preview

Birmingham City FC, with a 42% chance, are slightly favored to secure a home win against Swansea City AFC, who hold a 29% probability of victory according to the model. The expected goals suggest Birmingham may edge the scoring with 1.58 expected goals to Swansea's 0.82, but the most likely scoreline remains a tight 1-1 draw. With both teams to score projected at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 43%, this match could see competitive action; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.82

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Swansea City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC
Sept 2025 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Swansea City AFC