Middlesbrough FC vs Bristol City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Middlesbrough FC
1–0 Predicted · 15:00
Bristol City FC

Match result prediction

Home 55%
Draw 23%
Away 22%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.0/100
Confirm you are 18+ to see betting odds and value Predictions, probabilities and stats stay free for everyone.
🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1581 v 1487 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index WWDDL v DLDLW Middlesbrough 1.6 · Bristol City 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Middlesbrough v Bristol City

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

📺 Guess the VAR — how many VAR checks in this match?

Loading the crowd's guesses…

Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1487).
  • Middlesbrough FC is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Bristol City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Bristol CityDLDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1581
Bristol City1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 33% · 18%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning53% · 25% · 23%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC hold a 55% probability of securing a home win against Bristol City FC, with a predicted tight 1-0 scoreline reflecting a projected 1.25 to 0.65 expected goals advantage. The match appears likely to be low-scoring, as indicated by only a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance that both teams score. These projections are based on statistical models and should be considered as probabilities rather than certainties; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 0.65

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

MiddlesbroughBristol City
6.0 Corners 5.2
1.6 Cards 1.7
9.8 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Bristol City FC
Dec 2025 Bristol City FC 2–0 Middlesbrough FC