Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction

Championship · Tue 24 Nov, 19:45
Middlesbrough FC
1–0 Predicted · 19:45
Swansea City AFC

Match result prediction

Home 50%
Draw 25%
Away 25%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.3/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1581 v 1561 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index WWDDL v WLWDW Middlesbrough 1.6 · Swansea 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Middlesbrough v Swansea

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1581 vs 1561).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Swansea
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Swansea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
SwanseaWLWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1581
Swansea1561
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 31% · 15%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning45% · 27% · 29%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC holds a statistical edge with a 50% probability of securing a home win against Swansea City AFC, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.39 to 0.62. The model suggests a tight contest, with a 1-0 scoreline being the most likely outcome and a relatively low chance of both teams scoring or the match exceeding 2.5 goals. Fans can anticipate a closely fought game, but these projections are based on probabilities—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 0.62

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Swansea City AFC 2–2 Middlesbrough FC
Aug 2025 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Swansea City AFC