Wrexham AFC vs Portsmouth FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 28 Nov, 15:00
Wrexham AFC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Portsmouth FC

Match result prediction

Home 52%
Draw 21%
Away 27%

💡 Wrexham AFC are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.1/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1549 v 1503 Wrexham rated higher
Form Index LLWWD v DWWWD Wrexham 1.4 · Portsmouth 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Wrexham AFC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1549 vs 1503).
  • Portsmouth FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wrexham
Form Index
Portsmouth
Goal expectation
Wrexham
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Portsmouth. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamLLWWD1.4 ppg
PortsmouthDWWWD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1549
Portsmouth1503
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 26% · 27%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning54% · 21% · 25%

AI match preview

Wrexham AFC holds a slight edge in this Championship clash against Portsmouth FC, with a 52% probability of a home win and an expected goal tally of 1.79 compared to Portsmouth’s 1.30. Despite Wrexham’s advantage, the model suggests a 21% chance of a draw, highlighting a closely contested match that is most likely to finish 1-1. With a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

WrexhamPortsmouth
4.5 Corners 5.6
1.6 Cards 2.2
9.7 Fouls 11.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Wrexham AFC 2–1 Portsmouth FC
Nov 2025 Portsmouth FC 0–0 Wrexham AFC