Stoke City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 5 Dec, 15:00
Stoke City FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Queens Park Rangers FC

Match result prediction

Home 42%
Draw 28%
Away 30%

💡 Stoke City FC have a slight edge — leaning Stoke City FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.5/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1431 v 1454 QPR rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v DDLLL Stoke 0.2 · QPR 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1431 vs 1454).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
QPR
Form Index
QPR
Goal expectation
Stoke
Home advantage
Stoke

Green = favours Stoke · Blue = favours QPR. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
QPRDDLLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Stoke1431
QPR1454
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 31% · 21%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning35% · 31% · 34%

AI match preview

Stoke City FC hosts Queens Park Rangers FC in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 42%, though a draw and away victory remain plausible with 28% and 30% probabilities respectively. Expected goals suggest a modest edge for Stoke (1.40 to 0.86), but the most likely scoreline stands at 1-1, reflecting a tight contest. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams scoring just under a 50% chance, this match could hinge on small moments—remember, these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.86

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Stoke City FC 0–0 Queens Park Rangers FC
Sept 2025 Queens Park Rangers FC 1–0 Stoke City FC