Middlesbrough FC vs Portsmouth FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 19 Dec, 15:00
Middlesbrough FC
1–0 Predicted · 15:00
Portsmouth FC

Match result prediction

Home 59%
Draw 21%
Away 20%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.7/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1581 v 1503 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index WWDDL v DWWWD Middlesbrough 1.6 · Portsmouth 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1503).
  • Portsmouth FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Portsmouth
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Portsmouth. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
PortsmouthDWWWD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1581
Portsmouth1503
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 27% · 12%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning56% · 21% · 23%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough FC enter this Championship clash with a 59% chance of securing a home win, backed by a solid expected goals advantage of 1.62 to 0.57 over Portsmouth FC. The model suggests a tight encounter, with a 1-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome and relatively low chances for both teams to score or for the match to exceed 2.5 goals. These projections offer insight into likely scenarios but remember they are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.62 – 0.57

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 92+ matches)

MiddlesbroughPortsmouth
6.0 Corners 5.6
1.6 Cards 2.2
9.8 Fouls 11.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Portsmouth FC
Oct 2025 Portsmouth FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC