Stoke City FC vs Wrexham AFC Prediction

Championship · Sat 26 Dec, 15:00
Stoke City FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Wrexham AFC

Match result prediction

Home 31%
Draw 27%
Away 42%

💡 Wrexham AFC have a slight edge — leaning Wrexham AFC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 45.6/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1431 v 1549 Wrexham rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v LLWWD Stoke 0.2 · Wrexham 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Wrexham AFC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1549 vs 1431).
  • Wrexham AFC is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wrexham
Form Index
Wrexham
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Stoke

Green = favours Stoke · Blue = favours Wrexham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
WrexhamLLWWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Stoke1431
Wrexham1549
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 30% · 35%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning23% · 30% · 48%

AI match preview

Stoke City FC host Wrexham AFC in a closely matched Championship encounter where the model slightly favors an away win at 42%, though a draw remains a strong possibility. Both teams are projected to score around 1.3 goals each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline, supported by a 54% chance of both teams finding the net. With under 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, fans can expect a competitive, tight contest; remember these statistical projections and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.28

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Wrexham AFC 2–0 Stoke City FC
Oct 2025 Stoke City FC 1–0 Wrexham AFC