Preston North End FC vs Derby County FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 26 Dec, 15:00
Preston North End FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Derby County FC

Match result prediction

Home 29%
Draw 28%
Away 43%

💡 Derby County FC have a slight edge — leaning Derby County FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.4/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1471 v 1562 Derby County rated higher
Form Index WLLWL v LWLWL Preston NE 1.2 · Derby County 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Preston NE v Derby County

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Why we predict this

  • Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1471).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Derby County
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Derby County
Home advantage
Preston NE

Green = favours Preston NE · Blue = favours Derby County. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Preston NEWLLWL1.2 ppg
Derby CountyLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Preston NE1471
Derby County1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 28% · 47%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 41%
Machine-learning26% · 31% · 43%

AI match preview

Preston North End host Derby County in a Championship clash where the away side holds a 43% chance of victory, slightly edging out a home win at 29% and a draw at 28%. The model predicts an expected goals tally favoring Derby with 1.63 compared to Preston’s 1.15, yet the most likely scoreline remains a 1-1 draw. With over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 56%, fans can anticipate an open contest, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.63

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Preston North End FC 0–1 Derby County FC
Sept 2025 Derby County FC 0–1 Preston North End FC