Charlton Athletic FC vs Southampton FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 26 Dec, 15:00
Charlton Athletic FC
1–1 Predicted · 15:00
Southampton FC

Match result prediction

Home 21%
Draw 23%
Away 56%

💡 Southampton FC are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.8/100
Confirm you are 18+ to see betting odds and value Predictions, probabilities and stats stay free for everyone.
🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1652 Southampton rated higher
Form Index LDLDL v WDWDW Charlton 0.4 · Southampton 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Charlton v Southampton

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

📺 Guess the VAR — how many VAR checks in this match?

Loading the crowd's guesses…

Why we predict this

  • Southampton FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1652 vs 1435).
  • Southampton FC is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Southampton
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Charlton

Green = favours Charlton · Blue = favours Southampton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CharltonLDLDL0.4 ppg
SouthamptonWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Charlton1435
Southampton1652
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 26% · 51%
Power Rating26% · 13% · 61%
Machine-learning14% · 29% · 57%

AI match preview

Charlton Athletic host Southampton in a Championship clash where the model favors an away win with a 56% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 23%. The expected goals suggest a moderately open game, with Southampton slightly ahead at 1.75 expected goals to Charlton's 1.13, and the most likely scoreline standing at 1-1. With a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, this match could offer some attacking moments; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.75

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Southampton FC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC
Nov 2025 Charlton Athletic FC 1–5 Southampton FC