Who is predicted to win Derby County FC vs Sheffield United FC?

Our AI model predicts Home win (46% probability). The home/draw/away split is 46% / 24% / 30%.

What is the predicted score for Derby County FC vs Sheffield United FC?

The most likely scoreline from the SwiftScore model is 1-1 (15%), from projected expected goals of 1.15–1.13.

Will both teams score in Derby County FC vs Sheffield United FC?

Both teams to score: Yes 48%, No 52%. The chance of over 2.5 goals is 40%.

How confident is SwiftScore in this Derby County FC vs Sheffield United FC prediction?

SwiftScore rates this call 51.1/100. Every prediction is locked before kick-off and graded against the real result on our public accuracy page.

Derby County FC vs Sheffield United FC Prediction

Championship · Tue 29 Dec, 19:45

Derby County FC

1–1 Predicted · 19:45

Sheffield United FC

Match result prediction

Home 46%

Draw 24%

Away 30%

💡 Derby County FC are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win

SwiftScore Low · 51.1/100

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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited

SwiftScore 51.1

/100 confidence

Power Rating 1562 v 1507 Derby County rated higher

Form Index LWLWL v LWLLW Derby County 1.2 · Sheffield Utd 1.2 ppg

Model Consensus 100%

models back the pick

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Why we predict this

Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1507).
All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating

Derby County

Form Index

Even

Goal expectation

Even

Home advantage

Derby County

Green = favours Derby County · Blue = favours Sheffield Utd. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)

Derby CountyLWLWL1.2 ppg

Sheffield UtdLWLLW1.2 ppg

Power Rating

Derby County1562

Sheffield Utd1507

Model Consensus (home/draw/away)

Goals model35% · 32% · 34%

Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%

Machine-learning48% · 24% · 28%

AI match preview

Derby County FC and Sheffield United FC are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving Derby a slight edge at 46% to win compared to Sheffield United's 30%, while a draw holds a 24% probability. Both teams are projected to score similarly, with expected goals just over one each and the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 draw. The chances of over 2.5 goals stand at 40%, and both teams scoring is nearly even at 48%, highlighting the balanced nature of this encounter—please remember these are statistical projections and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.13

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Pride Park Stadium Derby, England Capacity 32,956 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Derby County FC 1–2 Sheffield United FC

Nov 2025 Sheffield United FC 1–3 Derby County FC