Derby County FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC Prediction

Championship · Fri 1 Jan, 12:00
Derby County FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Blackburn Rovers FC

Match result prediction

Home 53%
Draw 22%
Away 25%

💡 Derby County FC are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.1/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1562 v 1476 Derby County rated higher
Form Index LWLWL v DDLWL Derby County 1.2 · Blackburn 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Derby County FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1476).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Derby County
Form Index
Derby County
Goal expectation
Derby County
Home advantage
Derby County

Green = favours Derby County · Blue = favours Blackburn. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Derby CountyLWLWL1.2 ppg
BlackburnDDLWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Derby County1562
Blackburn1476
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 34% · 26%
Power Rating61% · 13% · 26%
Machine-learning55% · 21% · 24%

AI match preview

Derby County FC holds a slight statistical edge at 53% to claim victory against Blackburn Rovers FC, though a draw remains a notable possibility with a 22% chance. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Derby scoring 1.15 on average to Blackburn's 0.87, leading the model to favor a closely fought 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. With only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match may hinge on tight defenses and key moments. Remember, these projections are based on statistical models and should be used responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.15 – 0.87

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Pride Park Stadium Derby, England Capacity 32,956 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC
Nov 2025 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC