Queens Park Rangers FC vs Birmingham City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 16 Jan, 12:00
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Birmingham City FC

Match result prediction

Home 42%
Draw 27%
Away 31%

💡 Queens Park Rangers FC have a slight edge — leaning Queens Park Rangers FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.1/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1517 Birmingham rated higher
Form Index DDLLL v LWWWD QPR 0.4 · Birmingham 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Birmingham City FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1517 vs 1454).
  • Birmingham City FC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Birmingham
Form Index
Birmingham
Goal expectation
QPR
Home advantage
QPR

Green = favours QPR · Blue = favours Birmingham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
QPRDDLLL0.4 ppg
BirminghamLWWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
QPR1454
Birmingham1517
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 27% · 22%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning39% · 27% · 34%

AI match preview

Queens Park Rangers FC are slightly favored at 42% to secure a home win against Birmingham City FC, with the model projecting an expected goals tally of 1.73 to 1.07. Despite this edge, a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 stalemate. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just above 50%, fans might anticipate an open game, though all projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Loftus Road London, England Capacity 18,439 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC
Dec 2025 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC