Preston North End FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 23 Jan, 12:00
Preston North End FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Stoke City FC

Match result prediction

Home 47%
Draw 26%
Away 27%

💡 Preston North End FC are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.8/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1471 v 1431 Preston NE rated higher
Form Index WLLWL v DLLLL Preston NE 1.2 · Stoke 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Preston NE v Stoke

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1471 vs 1431).
  • Preston North End FC is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Preston NE
Form Index
Preston NE
Goal expectation
Preston NE
Home advantage
Preston NE

Green = favours Preston NE · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Preston NEWLLWL1.2 ppg
StokeDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Preston NE1471
Stoke1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 33% · 25%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning45% · 30% · 25%

AI match preview

Preston North End FC hold a slight statistical edge with a 47% chance of victory against Stoke City FC, who are pegged at 27%, while a draw sits at 26%. The model projects a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.23 for Preston and 0.90 for Stoke, most likely resulting in a 1-1 scoreline. With only a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance both teams will score, this game could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are probabilistic forecasts and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 0.90

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Preston North End FC 3–1 Stoke City FC
Dec 2025 Stoke City FC 0–0 Preston North End FC