Charlton Athletic FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Championship · Sat 23 Jan, 12:00
Charlton Athletic FC
1–1 Predicted · 12:00
Middlesbrough FC

Match result prediction

Home 25%
Draw 26%
Away 48%

💡 Middlesbrough FC are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 54.4/100
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🔒 Locked 26 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1581 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index LDLDL v WWDDL Charlton 0.4 · Middlesbrough 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1435).
  • Middlesbrough FC is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Charlton

Green = favours Charlton · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CharltonLDLDL0.4 ppg
MiddlesbroughWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Charlton1435
Middlesbrough1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 30% · 48%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 49%
Machine-learning22% · 30% · 48%

AI match preview

Charlton Athletic host Middlesbrough in a Championship clash where the visitors hold a 48% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw is slightly more probable than a home win. The expected goals suggest a moderately tight contest, with a 1-1 draw being the most likely scoreline despite the away side’s edge. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily scoring, this match could hinge on moments of quality; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.91 – 1.43

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Charlton Athletic FC
Dec 2025 Charlton Athletic FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC